Page 15 - NBIZ Magazine April 2021
P. 15

U.S. will continue to grow, citing the
        combination of increased exposure                                               Predicted damage, 2080 to 2099
        (more humans and infrastructure at                                              Percent of county G.D.P. per year
        risk), greater vulnerability (the
        amount of damage caused by hazards),
        and the higher frequency and magni-
        tude of extreme events, caused by
        climate change, that lead to billion-dol-
        lar disasters.                                                          Figure 2: Estimating economic damage from
                                                                                climate change in the United States
           Texas and other Gulf states have
        a lot to lose from climate change, as
        shown in Figure 2. Texas counties in
        the state are likely to experience a GDP
        decrease of up to 15% due to extreme
        weather and natural disasters. 4

        Grid Resilience and Increasing
        Power Outages
           The electric power sector is vast
        and complex and exposed to many
        climate risks. Extreme weather events
        are the most disruptive to power
        systems, particularly extreme heat,
        flooding, drought, and hurricanes.         Figure 1
        Texas’s electric power system is at risk
        because other than standard reliability
        regulation, there is no expectation or
        requirement that utilities or the grid
        operators forecast, assess, and prepare
        for the impacts of extreme weather risk
        on energy supply, demand, or system
        operation. Climate change will sig-
        nificantly affect electricity supply and
        demand as well as system operation.
        Without proper assessment, disclo-
        sure, and mitigation of risk, the power
        system will see greater disruptions
        resulting in significant impacts on the
        state economy and communities.
           Power outages are becoming
        increasingly common in the U.S. An
        analysis by Climate Central shows a
        67% increase in weather-related outag-
                    5
        es since 2000.  According to the U.S.
        Department of Energy, over the last
        20 years, Texas has had more power
        outages affecting 50,000 or more cus-
        tomers than any other state (see Figure
          6
        3).  In 2020, approximately two million
        Texas electric customers lost power
        for sustained periods due to extreme
        weather events. Most recently, Winter
        Storm Uri resulted in an outage for
        over 4.8 million people for almost an
        entire week. Texas power supply and
        demand will continue to be harmed
        by extreme weather events, increased
        power costs, and reduced reliability.

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